Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.009804 0.011686 0.013988 0.017064 0.021150 0.026522 0.034349
2025-06-08 0.007549 0.009771 0.012836 0.017564 0.025054 0.037255 0.060708
2025-06-15 0.006178 0.008403 0.011713 0.017324 0.027403 0.046824 0.094668
2025-06-22 0.005122 0.007192 0.010424 0.016269 0.027756 0.052954 0.129898
2025-06-29 0.004567 0.006609 0.009951 0.016396 0.030304 0.065545 0.206435
2025-07-06 0.004219 0.006280 0.009811 0.017061 0.034295 0.085550 0.375864
2025-07-13 0.004018 0.006154 0.009983 0.018388 0.040623 0.120835 0.883882
2025-07-20 0.003767 0.005898 0.009859 0.019036 0.045622 0.160414 2.224443
2025-07-27 0.003497 0.005569 0.009529 0.019106 0.049022 0.200851 6.279346
2025-08-03 0.003273 0.005294 0.009259 0.019249 0.052863 0.255686 32.609588
2025-08-10 0.003015 0.004926 0.008740 0.018611 0.053547 0.292763 295.394329
2025-08-17 0.002762 0.004542 0.008137 0.017609 0.052323 0.312842 101818.409915
2025-08-24 0.002533 0.004204 0.007632 0.016899 0.052605 0.360665 NaN
2025-08-31 0.002408 0.004060 0.007542 0.017383 0.058878 0.531248 NaN
2025-09-07 0.002253 0.003838 0.007238 0.017146 0.061654 0.692640 NaN
2025-09-14 0.002068 0.003540 0.006719 0.016106 0.059471 0.742059 NaN
2025-09-21 0.001969 0.003407 0.006573 0.016231 0.064170 1.077218 NaN
2025-09-28 0.001907 0.003343 0.006583 0.016887 0.073142 1.965605 NaN
2025-10-05 0.001877 0.003346 0.006759 0.018195 0.089093 5.537387 NaN
2025-10-12 0.001819 0.003281 0.006749 0.018833 0.101553 16.467720 NaN
2025-10-19 0.001743 0.003169 0.006603 0.018902 0.109460 51.589869 NaN
2025-10-26 0.001675 0.003072 0.006482 0.019043 0.118894 424.893182 NaN
2025-11-02 0.001587 0.002920 0.006197 0.018414 0.118954 3080.698894 NaN